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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cocos228 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (61–30, n=91) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $537K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (13 of 15 open) | 74% (71 of 96 open) | 64% (16 of 25 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 98 at avg 80¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 67% of 12) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 89% of 79) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cocos228 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.0K | No $412K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $40K | — | — |