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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (697–810, n=1507) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (39 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | debased | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $855 | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $750 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $609 | — | Yes $14K | — |