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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
deltasniperndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (208–149, n=357)63% (988–572, n=1560)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)
Consensus PnL-$45K$3.2M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #858PM monthly #104PM monthly #46PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus67% (38 of 57 open)76% (100 of 132 open)no open consensus position67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=128NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won57% of 343 at avg 57¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 14% of 92)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 24% of 45)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 65% of 65)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 91% of 141)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdeltasniperndb1primmUpTheBlues
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $452No $335K——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $464Yes $1.0M——