← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | e46m3 | SineNooneEI | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (207–87, n=294) | 33% (1377–2855, n=4232) | 88% (584–76, n=660) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $531K | $1.0M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #605 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (25 of 27 open) | 75% (319 of 424 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 5% (won 83% of 23) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 88% of 182) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 44% (won 93% of 224) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 16% (won 99% of 82) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | denizz | e46m3 | SineNooneEI | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $7.2K | Yes $60 | — | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | Yes $87 | — | — |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | Yes $6 | — | — |
| Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $138 | Yes $12 | — | — |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $37 | Yes $4 | — | — |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | Yes $3 | — | — |