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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dromedaryyCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)34% (27–53, n=80)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$390K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (29 of 52 open)0% (0 of 4 open)53% (62 of 117 open)72% (73 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 33 at avg 47¢, ROI +36%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 76% of 17)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 2)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0%33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 14)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdromedaryyCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21K——Yes $38K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K——No $24K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K