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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3ndb1
Record (consensus markets)74% (10178–3520, n=13698)66% (872–458, n=1330)
Consensus PnL$874K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #25
Sides with the consensus64% (356 of 553 open)73% (94 of 129 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +44 pts n=105, ROI +74%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1115, ROI +27%
  • NBA +14 pts n=145, ROI +19%
Weakest topicPolitics −1 pts, n=49NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 20% of 1850)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 54% of 350)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 73% of 444)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 98% of 2258)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3ndb1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $475Yes $1.3M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17No $335K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.4KYes $30K
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18Yes $534
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10No $40
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8No $13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2KYes $2.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $135No $1.4M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KYes $559K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $124No $88K
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
same side · consensus No
No $596No $85K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $98Yes $11K
2026 Balance of Power: Other
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $1.0K