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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickferrariChampions2026ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (282–309, n=591)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$13K$3.1M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854was PM monthly #87PM monthly #98PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)72% (26 of 36 open)74% (112 of 152 open)67% (6 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)—13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 14)—19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 41)—23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 100% of 138)—44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketefntrickferrariChampions2026ndb1primm
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $1.2K—Bengals $36K
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Bengals $2.0K—Falcons $1.4K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $28K—49ers $40K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $33K—Chiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $31K—Lions $14K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $106Juan Manuel Cerundolo $35K——
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
—Falcons $514—Falcons $7.9K