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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (308–329, n=637)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$12K-$9.5M$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854was PM monthly #87PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)69% (11 of 16 open)no open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 208 at avg 77¢, ROI +29%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 100% of 17)26% (won 100% of 1446)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 45)40% (won 100% of 2198)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 100% of 144)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketefntrickferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $23Adrian Andreev $24K—Nikita Mashtakov $23K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Grenier
Martin Krumich $57——Hugo Grenier $545
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $130Cosme Rolland De Ravel $23K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac $125——Tomas Machac $15K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $60Ugo Humbert $7.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360