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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ethBELIVER | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $304K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #446 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 24 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 8) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ethBELIVER | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $29K | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $34K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $45K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.3K | — | Yes $1.8K | — |