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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
faceverificationBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)71% (24–10, n=34)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$24K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #997PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)73% (80 of 109 open)no open consensus position61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 26 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfaceverificationBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.1KNo $88K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $1.1K——
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Raiders $5.8K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.3KYes $38K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $21K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K