← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| failstober | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (95–631, n=726) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $296K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (101 of 118 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=526 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 17% of 839 at avg 16¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 3% of 617) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 46% of 134) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 65% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 96% of 26) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | failstober | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $153 | — | — | Yes $14K |