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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)31% (564–1267, n=1831)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$105K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #972PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)65% (77 of 119 open)no open consensus position70% (67 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%50% of 901 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)48% (won 19% of 434)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)12% (won 51% of 110)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)13% (won 76% of 119)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)26% (won 94% of 238)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet
Ugo Blanchet $3.7KBuvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
Francesco Forti $229Massimo Giunta $348——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $13KCameron Norrie $6.7K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $13KAlex Michelsen $4.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Edas Butvilas
Cosme Rolland De Ravel $412Cosme Rolland De Ravel $264——