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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1plustiprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)63% (1095–632, n=1727)55% (17–14, n=31)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.6M$11K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #111was PM monthly #883PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus61% (36 of 59 open)72% (73 of 101 open)50% (2 of 4 open)65% (11 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)27% (won 100% of 4)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)73% (won 100% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1plustiprimm
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Under $4.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $3.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K——Saints $16
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $924
Counter-Strike: OG vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus 9INE
9INE $996—OG $161—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $597——Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Cowboys $332——Colts $76
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Cowboys $45——Colts $94
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $22——Eagles $195
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53——Eagles $131