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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
forinnerpsandr1x11222CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)92% (102–9, n=111)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$89K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #989 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (23 of 23 open)25% (1 of 4 open)71% (15 of 21 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics ±0 pts, n=25———
Settled positions, side won88% of 240 at avg 83¢, ROI +6%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 8% of 24)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 33% of 6)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 93% of 14)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 99% of 196)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketforinnerpsandr1x11222CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7K——No $184K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $720——Yes $272K