← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6254–5679, n=11933) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$18K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (130 of 159 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 85% of 95) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 373) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 414) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 1245) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $60 | — | Yes $64K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $225 | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $285 | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $62 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $26 | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $296 | — |