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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockbeachboy4CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (6114–5447, n=11561)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$16K$5.8M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #509was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (269 of 403 open)100% (1 of 1 open)25% (1 of 4 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 87% of 90)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 369)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 401)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1208)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketghorrockbeachboy4CORGIIprimm
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $46—Liquid $11K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $157—TheMongolz $2.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2——Cardinals $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2——Cardinals $1.0K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $15——Under $250
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $3——Broncos $605
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9——Over $4