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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hedgevaultmainnet1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2132–1776, n=3908) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$110K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 61% of 100) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 92% of 218) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 97% of 376) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 696) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hedgevaultmainnet1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $13 | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $834 | Yes $39K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $15 | Magic $24K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $492 | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $497 | Yes $967 | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $398 | Yes $258K | — |