← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hedgevaultmainnet1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2160–1813, n=3973) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$97K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 61% of 100) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 92% of 218) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 97% of 376) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 696) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hedgevaultmainnet1 | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $486 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $874 | — | — | Yes $21K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $27K | — | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $390 | — | — | Yes $280K |