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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hi774c | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (3867–3704, n=7571) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #256 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (11 of 23 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 53% (57 of 108 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3516 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 247) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 55% (won 100% of 1924) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1126) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 99% of 219) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hi774c | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $2.3K | Magic $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $461 | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — |