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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hi774c | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (3867–3704, n=7571) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #256 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3516 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 247) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 55% (won 100% of 1924) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1126) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 99% of 219) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hi774c | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $3.2K | — | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | — | Over $1.1K |