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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2614–1689, n=4303) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 15% (2 of 13 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2426 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 557) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1190) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $2.9K | Raiders $17K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.8K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.5K | No $590 | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | No $20K | — | — |