← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2614–1689, n=4303) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 18% (2 of 11 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2426 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 557) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1190) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.8K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.5K | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | No $22K |