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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (820–763, n=1583) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 50% (19558–19625, n=39183) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $88K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #520 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (30 of 56 open) | 59% (109 of 184 open) | 68% (80 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 35) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 101) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 17% (won 100% of 86) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 276) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | Lautaro Midon $1.8K | Tomas Barrios $16K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $56 | Yes $5.3K | — |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.5K | Under $753 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $721 |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $676 | No $2.9K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $268 | Under $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.1K | Under $154 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Under $1.9K |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $535 | Under $1.3K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $1.2K | Solana Sierra $476 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $138 | No $917 | — |
| CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $742 | Yes $155 |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| Moreirense FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $509 | Under $76 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $352 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | — | — | Al Ahli Saudi Club $8 | Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club $250 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $240 |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $148 | Under $98 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| AZ vs. Willem II Tilburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4 | Under $161 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $133 | No $20 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $13 | Over $132 | — |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $134 |
| Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $84 | Yes $40 |
| Stevenage FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $76 | Under $36 |
| Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $39 | Yes $10 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28 | — | Yes $3 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8 | — | Yes $3 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $984 | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K | — |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | — | Carlos Maria Zarate $4.8K | Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K | — |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.9K | Bianca Andreescu $3.2K | — |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.6K | No $310 |
| Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-09-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Sevilla FC | — | — | Sevilla FC $983 | Sevilla FC $3.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $4.2K | Browns $65 |