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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5923–5296, n=11219) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (812–758, n=1570) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $5.6M | $89K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #219 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (215 of 341 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (55 of 96 open) | 65% (115 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
77 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | Alex de Minaur $7.4K | — | Tomas Etcheverry $27K | Tomas Etcheverry $56K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $4.7K | — | Janice Tjen $3.1K | Joanna Garland $5.3K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.1K | — | Under $16 | Over $7.8K |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $863 | — | Yes $61 | Yes $265 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $20K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $11K | Lorenzo Musetti $53K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Novak Djokovic | Novak Djokovic $3.1K | — | Novak Djokovic $15K | Novak Djokovic $9.8K |
| Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci same side · consensus Matej Dodig | Matej Dodig $3.0K | — | Matej Dodig $560 | Matej Dodig $9.6K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $7.7K | — | Under $186 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | No $8 | No $196 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.1K | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone | Franco Agamenone $218 | — | — | Ignacio Monzon $5.0K |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $416 | Yes $4.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.1K | — | — | Over $31 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $50 | — | Under $2.3K | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | Under $45 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | — | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $210 | — | — | No $663 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $223 | — | — | Hawks $406 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $521 | — | — | No $43 |
| Exact Score: AEK 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | — | No $428 | — |
| W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | Tena Lukas $2 | — | — | Pia Lovric $250 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $125 | — | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $157 | — | Under $40 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $143 | — | Over $28 | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $62 | — | No $95 | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $84 | — | Under $19 | — |
| Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-10-17? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $83 | — | No $3 | — |
| Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | Como 1907 $61 | — | Racing Club de Lens $1 | — |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $26 | — | — | No $23 |
| Exact Score: PSV 2 - 0 Club Brugge KV? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $24 | — |
| M15 Pembroke: Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado vs Matt Kuhar opposite sides · consensus Matt Kuhar | Matt Kuhar $3 | — | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado $19 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7 | — | Under $1 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $39K | — | — | Under $45 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $7.1K | — | No $8.9K | — |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | Olympiakós SFP $11K | — | — | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6.1K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $5.4K | — | No $4 | — |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi | Weronika Falkowska $1.6K | — | Weronika Falkowska $2.9K | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | — | Under $459 | — |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | — | Under $33 | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Under $402 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.1K | — | Under $193 | — |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1.9K | — | No $29 | — |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | Juan Bautista Torres $1.5K | — | Juan Bautista Torres $103 | — |