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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677ndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)65% (4157–2202, n=6359)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.6M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #92PM monthly #980PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (54 of 74 open)56% (43 of 77 open)52% (17 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677ndb1Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $53Over $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Warriors $159Heat $110
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $11Warriors $7
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
——Harold Mayot $18Harold Mayot $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $112No $529
Predators vs. Avalanche
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Predators $66Predators $568
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $96Warriors $510
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $338
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $74Under $245
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $188Warriors $87
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $45Warriors $108
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $80Yes $7