← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (14740–14843, n=29583) | 44% (6123–7723, n=13846) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.2M | $3.0M | $36K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #62 | PM monthly #229 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 61% (92 of 151 open) | 86% (195 of 227 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Mentions −4 pts, n=594 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 60% (won 1% of 3032) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 2% (won 35% of 106) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 4% (won 60% of 183) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 34% (won 96% of 1746) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | quietparcel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.0M | Yes $76 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $71K | No $18 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $5 | No $2 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $820K | Yes $5 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $503K | Yes $122 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $118 | Yes $81K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.5K | — | No $291 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | Yes $145 | Yes $3 | — |