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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 41% (6775–9746, n=16521) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.2M | -$104K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #259 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (95 of 132 open) | 66% (755 of 1151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 39% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 198) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.