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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5014–3415, n=8429) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (19 of 39 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $775 | — | Cardinals $11K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $5.4K | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $2.4K | — | Steelers $9.1K | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Chiefs $160 | Chiefs $1.2K | — | — |