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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (21 of 38 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | — | Over $664 |
| Spread: Commanders (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $7 | — | — | Eagles $1.2K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $473 | — | — | Over $541 |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | — | — | Commanders $2.1K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $315 | — | — | Under $311 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | — | — | Commanders $23 |