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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | RN1 | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 43% (6 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | RN1 | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $315 | Eagles $6.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $126 | Eagles $1.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $359 | Eagles $1.1K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $131 | Under $134 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $2.9K | Commanders $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-9.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $2.9K | Commanders $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-8.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $37 | Commanders $3.4K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | Commanders $2.1K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 36.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $892 | Under $567 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-10.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $83 | Commanders $983 | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | Commanders $23 | — | — |