← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (21 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $784 | — | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | — | — | Eagles $858 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | — | — | Eagles $412 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Eagles $343 | — | — | Eagles $2.5K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $473 | — | — | Under $655 |