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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justbusiness1 | primm | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (270–235, n=505) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | -$130K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #760 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #74 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 56% (34 of 61 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −8 pts, n=12 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 354 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 21% of 14) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 87% of 108) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 92% of 203) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 93% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justbusiness1 | primm | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $605 | Over $4.4K | — |
| Bengals vs. Falcons same side · consensus Bengals | — | Bengals $36K | Bengals $5.3K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | Falcons $7.9K | Falcons $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $1.4K | Falcons $378 | — |