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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| manekineko | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (343–53, n=396) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=55 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 443 at avg 85¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 9% of 34) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 35% of 17) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 24) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 83% (won 97% of 368) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | manekineko | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | — | No $202K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | — | Commanders $188K |