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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| merod | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (2141–1870, n=4011) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #500 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=102 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 2181 at avg 65¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 12% of 582) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 145) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 70% of 181) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 95% of 1273) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | merod | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $541 | — | Under $41 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |