Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
monkeymashingkeyboardCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (612–524, n=1136)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (6 of 12 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (57 of 108 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +47 pts n=261, ROI +48%
  • NBA +50 pts n=80, ROI +49%
  • Tennis +53 pts n=42, ROI +50%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 587 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 100% of 172)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 396)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 10)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmonkeymashingkeyboardCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.8K—Magic $161Magic $13K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $76K——Chiefs $465K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $26K——Chiefs $152K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $22K—Cowboys $605—
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $12K—Titans $39—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $9.9K—Titans $2.2K—