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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | yong32 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 63% (5–3, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $14.9M | $3.8M | $111K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #259 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (74 of 101 open) | 55% (28 of 51 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 25 at avg 70¢, ROI −10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 12% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 28% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 56% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | yong32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K | T1 $3 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $229K | T1 $21 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | — | — | T1 $863K | T1 $3.5K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $153K | Bilibili Gaming $9.1K |