← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #837 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (81 of 110 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (123 of 196 open) | 36% (9 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $38K | Yes $10 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.0K | Yes $10 |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.9K | Yes $10 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.9K | Yes $11 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | Yes $10 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $4.8K | Yes $10 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $47 | Yes $10 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $4 | Yes $10 |