Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
27
No 56%
$10.6K
-$489.94
Smart Money Signal
15 of 27 top traders (56%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Yesavg 24.5¢ | $1.4K | $5.8K | +$4.4K | 50% 1336-1316 (2652) |
CA CannaeCTR | Noavg 77¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | 53% 16808-14937 (31745) |
VE Venusian | Yesavg 64.6¢ | $847.46 | $1.3K | +$487.9 | 51% 1390-1358 (2748) |
 oieshfn345 | Yesavg 78.1¢ | $1.7K | $1.3K | -$432.44 | 57% 2031-1503 (3534) |
MI MinevaJ | Yesavg 99¢ | $856.05 | $864.7 | +$8.65 | 56% 1140-886 (2026) |
LI Limousin | Yesavg 36¢ | $225.54 | $625.7 | +$400.16 | 53% 1437-1278 (2715) |
LI LightParadox | Yesavg 41.2¢ | $125.43 | $304.55 | +$179.12 | 52% 1386-1304 (2690) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Yesavg 20¢ | $65.01 | $266.4 | +$201.39 | 46% 1544-1818 (3362) |
XW xwingboyCTR | Noavg 78.9¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.2K | 66% 336-175 (511) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR | Noavg 36¢ | $183.58 | — | -$183.58 | 52% 14502-13185 (27687) |
NM NM-PCTR | Noavg 76.9¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 64% 9928-5530 (15458) |
GC GC-PCTR | Noavg 77¢ | $147.24 | — | -$147.24 | 64% 9969-5598 (15567) |
 RN1CTR | Noavg 25¢ | $240.62 | — | -$240.62 | 53% 61382-53692 (115074) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Yesavg 93¢ | $50.82 | $54.64 | +$3.82 | 47% 11734-13452 (25186) |
WA waierma<$100 | Yesavg 22.9¢ | $10.39 | $45.45 | +$0.23 | 44% 80-103 (183) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Yesavg 54¢ | $13.5 | $25 | +$11.74 | 61% 14368-9294 (23662) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Yesavg 31.5¢ | $8.11 | $18.67 | +$10.55 | 54% 9741-8133 (17874) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Yesavg 85.6¢ | $4.28 | $5 | +$0.72 | 82% 7344-1620 (8964) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Noavg 64.2¢ | $37.22 | — | -$37.22 | 60% 2724-1829 (4553) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Noavg 64.2¢ | $37.22 | — | -$37.22 | 47% 10633-12155 (22788) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Noavg 44.3¢ | $58.65 | — | -$13.65 | 65% 5278-2894 (8172) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Noavg 77.9¢ | $23.37 | — | -$23.37 | 52% 8776-7979 (16755) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 15¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 51% 6355-6138 (12493) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Noavg 66.1¢ | $10.17 | — | -$11.22 | 66% 24276-12373 (36649) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 74¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 58% 46712-33673 (80385) |
Invested
$1,416.32
Value
$5.8K
PnL
+$4.4K
Record
50%
1336-1316 (2652)
Invested
$1,582.35
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
53%
16808-14937 (31745)
Invested
$847.46
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$487.9
Record
51%
1390-1358 (2748)
oieshfn345Invested
$1,709.07
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$432.44
Record
57%
2031-1503 (3534)
Invested
$856.05
Value
$864.7
PnL
+$8.65
Record
56%
1140-886 (2026)
Invested
$225.54
Value
$625.7
PnL
+$400.16
Record
53%
1437-1278 (2715)
Invested
$125.43
Value
$304.55
PnL
+$179.12
Record
52%
1386-1304 (2690)
Invested
$65.01
Value
$266.4
PnL
+$201.39
Record
46%
1544-1818 (3362)
Invested
$2,022
Value
—
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
66%
336-175 (511)
Invested
$183.58
Value
—
PnL
-$183.58
Record
52%
14502-13185 (27687)
Invested
$1,188.96
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
64%
9928-5530 (15458)
Invested
$147.24
Value
—
PnL
-$147.24
Record
64%
9969-5598 (15567)
RN1CTRInvested
$240.62
Value
—
PnL
-$240.62
Record
53%
61382-53692 (115074)
Invested
$50.82
Value
$54.64
PnL
+$3.82
Record
47%
11734-13452 (25186)
Invested
$10.39
Value
$45.45
PnL
+$0.23
Record
44%
80-103 (183)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$11.74
Record
61%
14368-9294 (23662)
Invested
$8.11
Value
$18.67
PnL
+$10.55
Record
54%
9741-8133 (17874)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.28
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.72
Record
82%
7344-1620 (8964)
Invested
$37.22
Value
—
PnL
-$37.22
Record
60%
2724-1829 (4553)
Invested
$37.22
Value
—
PnL
-$37.22
Record
47%
10633-12155 (22788)
Invested
$58.65
Value
—
PnL
-$13.65
Record
65%
5278-2894 (8172)
Invested
$23.37
Value
—
PnL
-$23.37
Record
52%
8776-7979 (16755)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
51%
6355-6138 (12493)
Invested
$10.17
Value
—
PnL
-$11.22
Record
66%
24276-12373 (36649)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
58%
46712-33673 (80385)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
MadridTime
Yes — $5.8K
Cannae
CTRNo — $0
Venusian
Yes — $1.3K
oieshfn345
Yes — $1.3K
MinevaJ
Yes — $864.7
Limousin
Yes — $625.7
LightParadox
Yes — $304.55
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Yes — $266.4
xwingboy
CTRNo — $0
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRNo — $0