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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 86% (1785–293, n=2078) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.9M | $88K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #25 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 55% (35 of 64 open) | 90% (53 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | Tech −1 pts, n=56 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 13% (won 9% of 251) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 5% (won 52% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 6% (won 57% of 109) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 76% (won 97% of 1440) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Texans $11K | Chargers $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $2.1K | Seahawks $9.9K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $5.5K | Seahawks $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $737 | Seahawks $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $85 | Seahawks $4.2K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $87K | Packers $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Texans $2.7K | Texans $7.1K | — |