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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| neymar1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (356–720, n=1076) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $158K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #414 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 76% (75 of 99 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 454 at avg 37¢, ROI +48% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 66% of 146) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 87% of 207) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 96% of 97) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | neymar1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $179 | No $16K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $310 | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $332 | Yes $3.8K | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $54 | Yes $80 | — | — |