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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nicoco89 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (629–412, n=1041) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $107K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (32 of 55 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −10 pts, n=14 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 1188 at avg 34¢, ROI +5% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 12% of 657) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 44% of 187) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 74% of 144) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 94% of 200) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nicoco89 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $372 | — | No $118K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $54 | — | No $26K | — |