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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nonkenny90 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 91% (4664–457, n=5121) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $87K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #959 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (112 of 116 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Finance −3 pts, n=168 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 5634 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 8% of 39) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 30% of 43) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 134) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 96% (won 95% of 5418) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nonkenny90 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $36K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $473 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.2K | Yes $21K | — | — |