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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| okcoolstorybro | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (361–128, n=489) | 61% (394–247, n=641) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −7 pts, n=41 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 492 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 12% of 50) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 61% of 33) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 40% of 40) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 95% of 369) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | okcoolstorybro | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $34K |