← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (36 of 64 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 872) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2312) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4141) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3484) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $687 | — | — | Chiefs $465K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $157 | — | — | Magic $24K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116 | — | — | Yes $73K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $28K |