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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pantomime | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (850–682, n=1532) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $261K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #481 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −3 pts, n=111 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 1700 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 10% of 729) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 46% of 183) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 65% of 175) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 97% of 613) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pantomime | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $30K | — | — |