← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pieped | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (78–56, n=134) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #712 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (23 of 38 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 106 at avg 57¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 17% of 29) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 45% of 11) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 44% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 98% of 48) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pieped | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | No $292K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.3K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.1K | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | Yes $14K | — | — |