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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poshposhBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (6284–3515, n=9799)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$389K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (27 of 48 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=159, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=82, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=419, ROI +32%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2865 at avg 70¢, ROI +32%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 99% of 144)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 100% of 450)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 100% of 733)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 100% of 1538)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketposhposhBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Hugo Dellien $20——Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $229——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $101——Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $78——Over $382
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $199——Yes $10