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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (941–941, n=1882)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #181PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)63% (92 of 145 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 93% of 43)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 366)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 433)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 41)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $4.5KRavens $847
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $2.0KFalcons $591
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KOver $1.0K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Raiders $138Jets $2.1K
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $1.6KFalcons $321
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $65Over $1.6K
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $471Steelers $211
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.8KUnder $6.9K
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $4.8KBills $1.5K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Buccaneers $1.5KBuccaneers $1.3K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1KOver $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $4Jaguars $1.8K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $988Bills $775
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $1.5KBuccaneers $90
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $303Falcons $1.1K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $828Under $258
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $546