Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1118, n=2223)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #485
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)61% (41 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KOver $5