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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)60% (7128–4752, n=11880)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M$58K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #508
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)78% (14 of 18 open)69% (38 of 55 open)70% (35 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12KBuccaneers $18KBears $42K—
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $30KBears $15K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3KOver $21K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14KUnder $2.5K—
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $4.4KBears $9.9K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Buccaneers $12K——
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $2.3KBears $2.4K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8KUnder $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $7
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $31KBuccaneers $18K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $15KOver $9.8K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K—
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.8KOver $652—
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $3.0KBuccaneers $4.5K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $96Buccaneers $5.0K—
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
—Bears $2.9KBears $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KOver $6